3 Places that Actually WANT Putin to Invade

on the 21st of February the Russian federation formally announced its full diplomatic recognition of two secessionist republics in Donbass the Donetsk people's republic and the Luhansk people's republic pre-staging the ongoing invasion in Ukraine however, this is not the first the second or even the third time that Russia has recognized breakaway states in eastern Europe in fact it's been happening ever since the Soviet Union collapsed prior to the Donbass breakaway states there have been three other republics which Russia has directly supported Transnistria abaca Zia and south assetia so, in this blog, we're going to be looking at each of those three republics and how they got into their own respective constitutional quagmires let's start with the oldest breakaway state on the list the Pridnestrovian Moldovan republic better known as Transnistria it's a narrow sliver of land sandwiched between Moldova and Ukraine the story of Transnistria starts in 1924 with the founding of the Moldovan autonomous soviet socialist republic or m-a-s-s-r which then existed within the Ukrainian soviet republic which itself was a republic within the Soviet Union this new political entity was intended to be the national home for the Moldovans who lived along the border with then Romanian-controlled be Zambia the massr which was already majority ethnically Ukrainian ended up becoming thoroughly Sovietized after the signing of the Molotov riben trop pact in 1937 the Soviet Union demanded bethsarabia in an ultimatum to Romania and in its place established the new Moldovan soviet socialist republic which included Transnistria things quickly fell apart with the collapse of the Soviet Union though when national pro-democratic movements sprang up around the soviet republics including Moldova the mayor of trazapol at the time and an ardent supporter of the Ussr was worried about a possible union between Moldova and Romania so coordinated a wave of strikes in Transnistria to pressure the rest of Moldova to stop its drift towards independence when this failed in 1990 mass murnov declared the Pridnestrovian Moldovan soviet socialist republic in the area now known as Transnistria with the goal of becoming a constituent soviet republic of the Ussr unfortunately, this didn't go well for him though Gorbachev didn't recognize the republic and a war ensued between Transnistria and the now-independent Republic of Moldova which claimed Transnistria within its territory the war claimed nearly a thousand lives Moldova eventually agreed to negotiations with Boris Yeltsin where they agreed to form a new joint control commission the area was ultimately demilitarized with Russia Moldova and Transnistria providing peacekeepers for the region ironically the country never fulfilled its dream of becoming a legitimate Soviet republic as the USSR collapsed half a year prior to the end of the war today Transnistria represents a last remnant of a bygone era it maintains its soviet flag and coat of arms and even calls its parliament the supreme soviet it also has a rapidly declining population of about 350 000 inhabitants down from about half a million 10 years ago according to the 2015 census 29.1 percent of the country is Russian 28.6 is Moldovan while 22.9 is Ukrainian and over 90 are orthodox Christians despite the lack of international recognition the country is quite well accessible and if you've got a passport and proper paperwork travel between Moldova and Transnistria is unrestricted Russia still maintains a hefty military presence in the region and Transnistria has aligned many of its laws with Russia all three of its presidents have also supported a session to the Russian federation promise of future recession to Russia was even approved in the 2006 referendum on independence but Russia is yet to recognize or annex the region instead, mostly using Transnistria as a means to influence Moldovan internal affairs nonetheless, we can't know for certain that Russia won't reevaluate its strategy especially given Putin's recent behavior in Ukraine and Moldova's recent application to join the EU before we move on to address the duo of Abkhazia and south assetia if you want to know even more about Transnistria then we made an entire blog on its history and its current status which is exclusively on nebula and we'll explain how you can watch that at the end of this blog anyway, like Transnistria the story of these two republics begins with the Soviet Union Abkhazia had been part of the autonomous soviet republic under Georgia since 1931 while south obsetia was an autonomous oblast unlike Transnistria both countries represent their own unique ethnic group the Abkhazians are a unique ethnic group from the north Caucasus with their closest related group being the Circassians in Russia they mostly inhabit Abkhazia although they can also be found in Russia turkey and Syria the ascetians are a much larger ethnic group where most of their population lives in north assetia Alania a constituent republic of Russia right on the other side of the mountains from south ascetia curiously they are of iranic people meaning that they belong to the same ethno-linguistic group as the Kurds Persians and Pashtuns Abkhazia is estimated to have a population of under a quarter of a million people while south Ossetia sits at about fifty thousand both countries are majority eastern orthodox with alkazia having a significant Muslim minority similar to Transnistria the Abkhazians and ascetians petition the Soviet Union to be directly integrated as new soviet republics in order to escape Georgia's increasingly nationalistic and pro-independence drift Georgian nationalists disagreed though and their president at the time demanded that the two countries were stripped of any autonomy completely in response the two boycotted the 1991 Georgian independence referendum and tensions finally peaked in 1992 when abcas separatist militants took over their capital and proclaimed independence this was after Georgia had already fought a war with the ascetians which resulted in approximately a thousand fatalities and was only ended by a Russian brokered ceasefire the year-long war in Abkhazia though would be even bloodier in the middle of political unrest in Georgia proper the Abkhazian conflict saw brutal war crimes and acts of ethnic cleansing on both sides the worst recorded incidence of this was the massacre in sakumi which saw over a thousand civilians brutally murdered the overall toll of the war is estimated to be between 25 and 30 000 people and in the end, Georgia was again defeated with the new ceasefire setting a de facto independent Abkhazia this was mainly thanks to support from Chechen and Cossack fighters as well as alleged Russian contribution this fragile piece in Georgia was shaken just ten years later though when the regime of Edouard cevajani in Georgia got ousted after the events of the rose revolution this saw the rise of a new pro-western president and as a result their relationship with Russia deteriorated even further after a sudden escalation of conflict with south assesia which broke the 1992 peace fire Russian alleged that Georgia was at fault and responded with its own peace enforcement operation in 2008. despite the conflict only originally being about the ascetians Russia advanced deep into Georgian territory and aided Abkhazia in conquering all of its claimed territory as a result twenty thousand Georgians were forcibly displaced from ascetia and the two breakaway republics finally secured their claimed territories as is the case with Transnistria are essentially acting as Russian satellites relying on Russia for both economic and military guarantees both regions have also flirted with the idea of integrating into Russia proper and unlike Transnistria, they do receive formal recognition of statehood from Russia and Russian allies like Venezuela and Syria the big question now though for all three of these Russian-backed separatist regions is whether Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a symptom of a new more expansionist foreign policy from Putin and whether this will mean a session into the Russian federation anytime in the near future.